If you were to ask me which team has had it worse this season, or, looked worse, I'd most certainly tell you the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are worse than the Cleveland Browns.
The Bucs have looked inconsistent and been listless at times on offense. They don't show the fire they should all 60 minutes of a game, and that's something I've been impressed by when speaking of the Browns.
Baker Mayfield has been impressive, even in defeat. And he's vowed to respond after a brutal loss last Sunday to the San Diego Chargers.
The Browns are 2-3-1 but are in the thick of an early AFC North chase that may end up in Ohio. Cincinnati and Baltimore sit atop the division with 4-2 marks, while Pittsburgh (3-2-1) is in front of Cleveland. But something tells me we will see every team in first place by the season's end.
And the team with the most toughness will remain in the end. I think that team could very well be the Browns, who have two wins in a season for the first time since 2015.
I love Cleveland in this spot on the road, against the struggling Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay is 2-3 and sitting in third place in the NFC South. The Bucs handed first-place New Orleans its only loss, but have been brutal ever since. They've been outscored by 32 points, and have the second-worst defense in the league.
Tampa Bay has shown toughness in stopping the run, but ranks dead last in stopping the pass.
Enter Mayfield, who has shown poise and maturity, and can take full advantage of this secondary. I expect him to put up big numbers in a favorable climate and lead the Browns to a win.
I'll play the road team in this one.
And like with all football plays in this point-spread range, I want you active in buying the half point. Anytime there is an underdog catching between +2.5 and +4, you are to buy the half point up.