How easy was Virginia?

Up-The-Ante
150 DIME
Winner # 32 of 46

Virginia (-12) over Davidson 80-60

You got it for Over Half Price Off

3rd Ever 150 Dimer in College Hoops since
my initial site debut in February 2013

Matches last Saturday's 150 Dimer on
Xavier (-17) over Colorado 96-79
- that you also got for Over Half Price Off - 

Matches two Saturday's ago 150 Dimer on
Clemson (-12) over Miami 38-3 in the ACC title game
- that you also got for Over Half Price Off - 

Now 102-71-5 
roll with ALL plays
rated 100 Dimes or Higher in ALL sports
including Sunday's 100 Dimer on Jacksonville over Seattle - 

Both teams have been idle since Dec. 5, but this game means much more for Virginia as the hosts will be looking to rebound from their 1st loss of the season as they got knocked from the ranks of the undefeated in Morgantown 11 nights ago by the Bob Huggins' Mountaineers, 68-61.

Back in Charlottesville, where they're 5-0, the Cavs entertain a Davidson team that's 4-3 overall and 1-2 on the road.

RPI-wise there's no comparison. Va is ranked 3rd; Davidson 180.

The Wildcats are 1-2 on the road with losses at App State by 16 and Nevada by 13. Neither the Mountaineers or Wolfpack are ranked No. 1 in scoring defense like the Cavaliers, who allow just 52.6 ppg.

Davidson lives and dies on the perimeter with 47.4% of its offense coming on 3-pointers, which is the 2nd highest figure in Division 1 ball. Over 54% of its shots are triples. The Wildcats hit about 38% of them, but today they're facing a Virginia team that's ranked 29th in the nation in 3-point D as opponents hit only 29.3% of their shots from 3-point land. 

FYI - Davidson was 8-of-26 on 3's in the game

Tony Bennett's Cavaliers have always been known for their defense, but this year's team is the best offensive squad he's had so far. Back home after a long layoff they'll probably struggle at the outset but I fully expect them to get in gear in the second half and with the way they defend the perimeter the going will be tough for a Davidson team that rarely gets to the line to get cheap points to keep this one close. 

Virginia pulls away in the second half for the cover in a 73-56 win.



How easy was Xavier?

Up-The-Ante
150 DIME
Winner # 31 of 45

Xavier (-17) crushes Colorado 96-69
You got it for Over Half Price Off - 

2nd Ever 150 Dimer in College Hoops since
my initial site debut in February 2013

Matches the previous Saturday's 150 Dimer on 
Clemson (-12) over Miami 38-3 in the ACC title game
- that you also got for Over Half Off - 

Here's what I told you.....

Revenge.

It's been the theme for Xavier's season so far.

Wisconsin beat the Musketeers in the Dance two years ago.

The X-men got payback in an 80-70 win.

Baylor and Cincinnati beat them last season.

The X-men returned the favor with two home wins, beating the Bears 76-63 and Bearcats 89-76.

3 revenge games.

3 double-digit paybacks.

Now it's Colorado's turn.

Last year's in Boulder Xavier blew a 9-point, 2nd-half lead when Colorado went on a 15-0 run to claim a 68-66 win as a +1 1/2 dog.

But this is not the same Buffs team. Two of the three guys that keyed that late surge, Xavier Johnson and Derrick White - who combined for 41 of Colorado's 68 points in that game - are no longer around.

Colorado might be 7-1, but it's a soft 7-1 with the wins coming at home against the likes of Northern Colorado, Denver, Quinnipiac, Drake, Mercer, Air Force and New Mexico. In the Buffs only road game they lost 72-63 at Colorado State.

Xavier has lost one game. It was against undefeated Arizona State. No shame there. 

Like the way the Musketeers didn't get caught flat after beating Cincinnati - or get caught looking ahead to this revenge game - when they crushed Kent, 96-70, at the Cintas Center on Wednesday. 

Xavier averages 89.8 points (13th best in the nation) on 53.9% shooting. The Musketeers have covered 7 straight at home and 15 of their last 17 overall. They're also on a 40-18 roll versus the number vs. non-conference opponents.

Colorado has one negative stat that really stands out: the Buffs are hitting only 69.8% at the line. At the rockin' Cintas Center, the pressure will really be on for a team that's 3-12-1 ATS in its last 16 on the road.

Xavier has had this game circled. Trevon Bluiett and the guys don't take their feet off the gas pedal today. They just put 89 on the board against a tough Cincy D in a 13-point home win last week. Today's rout is even easier in a blowout cover as the X-men roll 80-55.



How easy was Clemson?

Up-The-Ante
150 DIME
Winner # 30 of 44

Clemson crushes Miami of Florida
in ACC Championship Game

1st 150 Dimer in College Football since Dec. 3 last year

Here's what I told you.....

Think about this: Defending national champion Clemson has won 35 of its last 38 games and has battled Alabama twice for the crown, avenging its 2015 loss with last January's monumental upset.

Is there a better big game coach right now than Dabo Swinney?

Is there a better big game defense right now than Clemson's?

Miami has had a great turnaround season, but what have the Hurricanes done on the road? Beat a bad Duke team? Escaped with a last-second win at Florida State? Barely defeat defenseless North Carolina in Chapel Hill? And of course get upset by Pitt.

None of those teams have winning records.

Looking back, was the "big" win over Notre Dame that "big" considering how the Irish folded down the stretch and how poorly they played outside of South Bend?

I can give a pass to Clemson for the shocking loss at Syracuse because QB Kelly Bryant never should have been playing in that game and once he got re-injured it was all over.

But the Tigers dominated Auburn, Boston College, Georgia Tech and FSU at home. They crushed Louisville and South Carolina on the road. They took care of business against NC State in Raleigh. 

Miami has a good defense; Clemson's is better.

Miami has a great pass rush; Clemson's is just as good.

Miami's offense is crippled. First it lost top running back Mark Walton in October. Then it lost TE Chris Herndon IV (40 catches, 11.9 ypc) and WR Ahmmon Richards (24 catches, 18.3 ypc) this past week. That leaves QB Malik Rosier minus 2 of his 3 three receivers.

You saw what Pitt did against Miami; the Panthers overplayed the run and dared Rosier to beat them through the air and he couldn't, struggling through a 15-for-34 day for 187 yards. And they limited him on the ground, too, as he gained just 31 yards on 12 scrambles. 

Big game experience counts and that's why Clemson Covers. 



Payment Types

100 DIME
Max Wager -
LINE ERROR LOCK OF THE YEAR

Patriots - Steelers

102-71-5 roll with ALL plays
rated 100 Dimes or Higher

Matches last Sunday's 100 Dimer
on Jacksonville over Seattle

Matches two Sunday's ago 100 Dimer
on Tennessee over Houston
Buy Now Buy Now $109
Up-The-Ante 150 Dime Winner # 30 of 44 was EZ as Clemson (-12) crushed Miami of Florida, 38-3, in the ACC championship game three Saturdays ago.

Up-The-Ante 150 Dime Winner # 31 of 45 was EZ as Xavier (-17) exacted a measure of revenge against Colorado, 96-69, two Saturdays ago at home.

Up-The-Ante 150 Dime Winner # 32 of 46 was EZ as Virginia (-12) returned from an 11-day layoff and rebounded from its first loss of the season to cruise by overmatched Davidson, 80-60, at home.

A troika of no-doubt-about-it winners.

But that's what a 150 Dime play is supposed to be, right?

Coming right back today with a 100 Dime Max Wager on the late card that matches last Sunday's 100 Dimer on the Jaguars over Seattle and two Sundays ago 100 Dimer on Tennessee over Houston.

I'm Baaaccckkk

100 DIME
Max Wager -
AFC LOCK OF THE YEAR

Patriots - Steelers

102-71-5 
roll with ALL plays
rated 100 Dimes or Higher in ALL sports
- including last Sunday's 100 Dimer on Jacksonville over Seattle - 

Winner # 9 of 11 The Past 3 Weeks


Saturday

Up-The-Ante
150 DIME
Winner # 32 of 46

Virginia (-12) pounds Davidson 80-60
- You got it for Over Half Price Off - 


Let's get after it. 

Buy Flexi-Pass

Brad Wilton's Rating System

The No. 1 mistake gamblers make?

They worry too much about win/loss percentages.

Gamblers often just don't understand that the win/loss percentage is 100% inconsequential because every play - at least in my case and for all the handicappers here at this site - is rated for money-management purposes.

If you ever come across a handicapper who refuses to rate his plays, my advice is to RUN because more than likely he's a con man.

Personally, I use a weighted scale - ranging from 10 dimes to 100 dimes - to rate my releases.
 
This rating system not only defines my success in terms of net profit at the end of the day, week, month or season, but it also gives you an idea of how strong each release is and how you should play it.
 
Two simple things to remember:
 
      1) In terms of ratings, a 50 dime play is obviously twice as strong
          as a 25 dime play; five times stronger than a 10 dime release.
 
      2) Base the size of your wagers on the percentage of your total
          bankroll for a given day.
 
To explain that second rule a bit further, let's say you've got $100 to play with on a Monday night and I've got a 40 dime play on the football game's side plus a 10 dime release on the game's total. That's 50 dimes of action on the table versus $100 to invest. That means you've got $2 per dime to play ($100 divided by 50 dimes). So, you would wager $80 on my side selection and $20 on the total.
 
The biggest advantage to this easy concept: You never get in over your head by betting more than you have in your pocket.

Who is Brad Wilton?

My family moved from Macon, Georgia to Las Vegas when I was seven. 

You want to talk about future shock?

Growing up here as a kid, you went to school to learn about reading, writing and arithmetic, but on the streets you learned about gambling. Everyone was seemingly doing it. Ponies. Poker, Sports. Friends and family alike. And unlike other places in this country, there wasn't the f&?ing moral majority police telling you how bad it was.

No surprise, I guess you would say, that I was playing poker before puberty hit. Betting pro and college sports was just a natural progression. And I've been doing it LONG before I lost my hair. Trust me on that one!

If you ask me, being here in Vegas in the gambling mecca of the world, watching the city grow and going along for the gambling ride of your life, is key to making a living betting on spots. The clock didn't strike midnight for my 21st birthday before I was making a beeline to the old Stardust to place my first bet "legally." It was run down even then, but what a place. Such a shame that it's nothing but a memory and empty lot with half-started buildings now.

At the Stardust I got an education because that's where the veteran gamblers here in Vegas always hung out. Remember, sportsbooks back in those days weren't the glamour palaces they are now. These were guys that were so much older than me, but I learned my lessons well by listening to what they said about spotting bad numbers and the factors that influence prices on games.

Unlike those old-timers, I had the advantage of using the wonderful worldwide web. The Internet gave me access to every team in the country, allowing me to read about them and watch many of their games online. It's not unusual for me to spend a good six hours a day scouring team websites and reading about teams in local newspapers. But that research is often the difference between making money and losing it. 
 
You can't make that commitment on a daily basis. I understand that. But that's what my job is and that's how I make money for you and me both.

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NFL WEEK 15 Sunday, December 17th
1:00 PM 307 Philadelphia
308 Ny Giants
34
29
01:57
4th Q
-7-17
41u15
-7½+ev
41
-7½-05
41
-7½
40½
-7-17
41u15
-7½
41
1:00 PM 309 Green Bay
310 Carolina
24
31
01:48
4th Q
46½u12
-3+04
46½
-3+ev
46½u15
-3+ev
46½
-3-05
46½u12
-3+04
47
-3
1:00 PM 311 Cincinnati
312 Minnesota
7
34

FINAL
43u15
-12½
42½
-13
42½o15
-12½
43
-12½
43u15
-12½
42
-12½
1:00 PM 313 Miami
314 Buffalo
16
24

FINAL
40o11
-3½-13
40
-3½
40o15
-3½-15
40
-3½
40o11
-3½-13
40
-3½
1:00 PM 315 Houston
316 Jacksonville
7
45
02:00
4th Q
39½
-10-14
39½
-10½
39u15
-10½-05
39½
-10½
39½
-10-14
39
-10½
1:00 PM 317 Ny Jets
318 New Orleans
19
24
01:49
4th Q
47u18
-16-07
47
-15½
46½
-16
47
-16
47u18
-16-07
47
-16
1:00 PM 319 Arizona
320 Washington
15
20

FINAL
40o15
-4½
40
-4
40
-4½-05
40
-4-15
40o15
-4½
40
-4½
1:00 PM 321 Baltimore
322 Cleveland
27
10

FINAL
-6½
42½
-6½
42½
-6½+ev
42o20
-7+ev
42½
-6½
42½
-7-05
42
4:05 PM 323 La Rams
324 Seattle
3
0
11:26
1st Q
48o11
-1-04
47½
pk
47½u15
pk
47½
-1-05
-1-05
47½u13
-1
47½
4:25 PM 325 New England
326 Pittsburgh
    -2½-08
52½o11
-2
52½
-2
52½u20
-2½-05
53½
-2½-06
52½u15
-2½-15
53½
4:25 PM 327 Tennessee
328 San Francisco
    44½o11
-2½
44½
-2½
44½
-2-20
44½
-3-15
45u15
-2½-09
44½
-2½
8:30 PM 329 Dallas
330 Oakland
    -3-02
46½
-3+ev
46
-3-05
46
-3-05
46
-3-02
46½
-3-05
46
NFL WEEK 15 Monday, December 18th
8:30 PM 331 Atlanta
332 Tampa Bay
    -6-15
48u14
-6½
48½
-6-15
48
-6
48
-6-15
48u15
-6½
49
NFL WEEK 16 Saturday, December 23rd
4:30 PM 101 Indianapolis
102 Baltimore
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8:30 PM 103 Minnesota
104 Green Bay
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
NFL WEEK 16 Sunday, December 24th
1:00 PM 105 Detroit
106 Cincinnati
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1:00 PM 107 La Chargers
108 Ny Jets
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1:00 PM 109 La Rams
110 Tennessee
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1:00 PM 111 Cleveland
112 Chicago
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1:00 PM 113 Tampa Bay
114 Carolina
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1:00 PM 115 Atlanta
116 New Orleans
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1:00 PM 117 Denver
118 Washington
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1:00 PM 119 Miami
120 Kansas City
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1:00 PM 121 Buffalo
122 New England
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4:05 PM 123 Jacksonville
124 San Francisco
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4:25 PM 125 Ny Giants
126 Arizona
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4:25 PM 127 Seattle
128 Dallas
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
NFL WEEK 16 Monday, December 25th
4:30 PM 129 Pittsburgh
130 Houston
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8:30 PM 131 Oakland
132 Philadelphia
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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