Units, Dollars, Stars, gold plays, platinum plays, double-wager living locks, blah, blah, blah.
Who the F&%K cares about all that crap?
I just want to get you my plays in an easily understood system. So, here it goes:
The plays are rated from 10 dimes to 100 dimes.
A 50 dime play is twice as strong as a 25 dime play.
Your wager for a 50 dime play should be twice as much as a 25 dime play.
Pretty damn simple, right?
The rating scale is simply a unit of measure (i.e. worth) so you know how strong a play is to ME when I release it compared to others either previous or in the future.
How much you play is up to you. That's where bankroll allocation comes into the equation.
Let's say today it's an NFL Sunday and you have $100 to spend. That's it; not a penny more. And that $100 is the most you would bet on a game. Period. Now, if I have a 50 dime play, you're just betting $50 - not $100 - because my play isn't a max wager so your bet shouldn't be either.
Say I win on Sunday and Monday night your bankroll is now sitting at $150 and I come strong with a 100 dime max wager. Do you take all $150 and bet it? F&%K NO. Your max wager is $100. That's what you're playing because should I lose after the vig you're still walking away with $40 over the two days.
Will your max wager change eventually? It could. But only if I build your bankroll. You bet more when that bankroll grows; you bet less when it shrinks. It's all about money-management. And I will "manage" it if you follow my rating system.
Who is Tony Weston?
I am a gambler, just like you.
But unlike you, I'm a handicapper, too.
That means my job is doing the research on teams, personnel and situations all designed to produces a profit over the long haul.
It's not a 9-to-5 job. Never has been. It's 7 days a week, 365 days a year, but no complaints from me because I love it. Been doing it since I was 23-years old and wouldn't do anything else.
It's more than just getting online and studying. Being here in Vegas you've got to keep your ear to the ground, talk to other gamblers and get tips along the way. You need to be able to spot bad lines and bad situations and be ready to pounce on those obvious linemakers' errors. Trust me, oddsmakers make mistakes daily, some big, some small, and they're waiting to be exploited and that's what I do best.
Do I win all the time? Hell no. And anyone who says they do is a F&%King liar. This is a business about turning a profit over the long haul and that's what I'm best at, making money over the course of the month, the season, the year.
Cincinnati at BUFFALO (-6)
My free winner on NFL Sunday is going to be the Buffalo Bills, minus the points against the Cincinnati Bengals. Like with all football plays in this point-spread range, I want you active in buying the half point. Anytime there is a favorite laying points between -6 and -7.5, you are to buy the half point down.
Don't look now Bills Mafia, but your young quarterback Josh Allen is beginning to emerge. He is actually looking like a viable starting QB. Last week he went 19 of 30 for 253 yards with a touchdown passing and another rushing in producing just his fifth turnover-free outing in 13 starts. Key words there: "turnover free."
The week before Allen turned the ball over four times - two interceptions and two lost fumbles - in the first half of a 17-16 win over the New York Jets in the very same stadium.
Now the 2-0 Bills can move to 3-0 for just the third time in 26 years with a win over a Bengals team that was just hammered at home by the San Francisco 49ers, 41-17. And it's not the offense, as quarterback Andy Dalton is doing his job, it's that shoddy defense that is allowing 402 yards per game and has looked downright horrendous after two weeks.
Certainly not as good as the Bills' defense, which has limited teams to 296.5 yards per game. With a couple of key stops early, don't be surprised to see Buffalo break open a solid halftime lead. The Bills have scored nine touchdowns on their past nine drives into the red zone, dating back to last season's finale.
This is the home opener, and the Mafia will come in after a wild morning of tailgating to create a raucous atmosphere. I'm laying the home chalk.
Based on 1♦ to 5♦ Rating