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SUNDAY'S FREE PICK

My apologies, but I've been fighting a case of bronchitis and another bout of anemia so I'm going to take some more time off from doing the Video Report since A) I feel like death warmed over and B) I've got no voice anyway. For the time being this is where you're going to find the daily freebies.

As for the comp plays, I'm on an 821-775-34 roll (19-11 L/30) the past 953 days following despite Saturday's loser on Milwaukee (Run Line).

For Sunday I'm switching sides and backing the Phillies (-115) in the rubber game of the series at Miller Park with Aaron Nola over Chase Anderson.

A little disclosure first: I would have taken Houston on the Run Line today at Kansas City, but even laying -1 1/2 runs the Astros were too costly at -165.

Back to the Phillies, who scored a 4-1 win yesterday despite whiffing 14 times and going 2 for 14 with runners in scoring position. Their offense has largely been missing in action for weeks, but today they face Chase Anderson, who has rarely resembled the emerging ace who went 12-4 with a 2.74 ERA for the Brewers a year ago.

Now Anderson is coming off an outstanding performance against the Cubs on Tuesday at home as he silenced Chicago with seven innings of one-hit, shutout ball, but that only lowered his ERA in seven Miller Park starts to 5.06 on the season. In 37.1 home innings he's allowed 33 hits with 11 of them clearing the fences.

Philadelphia counters with Aaron Nola, who is 7-1 with a 2.30 ERA in his last 10 starts. The 25-year-old right-hander is 3-0 with a 1.38 ERA in four career outings against the Brewers. Two of them have come in Milwaukee and his ERA in them is 2.08.
 
Despite yesterday's loss the Brewers are still on an 11-4 roll at home while the Phillies have won only five of their last 15 on the highway. But in today's game Philadelphia has the clear pitching advantage so why not back the road team in the deciding game of the series at this cheap chalk price.

 


 

11 of 16 Winning Football Seasons

(NFL & College Combined)

 


 
229-181-13 NFL Roll
past five years combined
  
(FYI - 99% of my plays are rated between 5 and 15 dimes)
 

 
11-6
with highest rated 30 Dime NFL releases
past 7 years combined
 

 
115-84-8 Run
with NFL 15 Dimers past seven seasons


 

Biggest NBA Plays Since 2009

 

15 Dime Releases

 

128-98-3 Record

 


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NOTE:

(Any "Guarantee" applying to Guaranteed Plays and Resulting

Free Service is NOT included)


Steve Budin, Mathew Parker, Matt Rivers,

Dom Chambers (NHL) and Gabe DuPont (NHL) 

do NOT release plays everyday


Trace Adams' Pay After You Win Plays

(which are NEVER Best Bets) are not included


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Al DeMarco's Rating System

Over the 25 years I've been doing this, one of the biggest misconceptions I've encountered from customers is their belief that winningpercentageactually matters in this business. Bottom line is that a straight-up winning percentage means absolutely nothing when your handicapper - such as myself - releases rated selections. Read further and you'll understand why.

 

I use the "dime" rating system, going in 5 dime increments, generally keeping those plays between 5 and 50 dimes. Yes, that's a wide range, but truth be told, I usually max out around 30 dimes, rarely venturing into the rarefied air toward 50 dimes unless I've built a substantial bankroll. Doing anything different would be irresponsible bankroll management on my part and a total disservice toward you, my clients.

 

I like to keep it simple from a money-management system so my customers can always know exactly how they should beallocatingtheir bankroll in proportion to the rating I assign to a selection.

 

Obviously, a 50 Dime play is five times stronger than a 10 Dime release and twice as strong as a 25 Dime pick.

 

And each day when you see my compiling or mentioning my NET profit figures, keep in mind I've computing them based on the following formula:

 

Net Profit = Wins - Losses- Vig

 

Of course let's not forget my golden rule of gambling: Never bet more than you can afford to lose. No rating system - including mine - is effective unless you pay attention to that rule. By heeding my advice you can never fall into a financial abyss from which there is no escape.

 

A question gamblers always pose is "How much should I be playing?" Obviously, there is no set, firm answer, but my advice would be to follow my money management system and base the size of your wagers on a percentage of your total bankroll.

 

Let me explain further...

 

Take your total bankroll - the amount you can afford to lose in an absolute worst case scenario on a single day. Let's say it's $400 on a college football Saturday. And on that Saturday I release a 50 Dime play and two 20 Dime picks.

 

Let's do some quick math...I've got atotalof 90 dimes of action on the table (one 50 dime play and two 20 dimers).  You've got amaximum one-day bankrollof $400. Simply divide the $400 by the 90 dimes and you've got a per dime wager of $4.44.

 

Now it's time for some simple multiplication. If a dime is worth $4.44, my 50 Dime rated release equals approximately a $222 wager on your part. And my two 20 Dime rates picks equal approximately $88.88 wagers each. Add everything back up and you've got your initial $400 bankroll all over again.

 

This obviously all applies to a single wagering day. It's up to you to figure out how to allocate your bankroll over the course of a week or month.

 

Now, back to how inconsequential winning percentages can be: Let's say I have a 50 Dime play and three 10 Dime releases on an NFL Sunday. If I win the 50 Dime play and go 0-3 with the 10 Dime releases, my overall record is a dismal 1-3 but my net profit is a healthy 17 dimes. Conversely, let's say I lose the 50 Dime play and go 3-0 with the 10 Dime releases. My overall record is an impressive 3-1, but my net profit is a negative -25 dimes.

 

Which would you prefer, the losing record and winning day, or the winning record or losing day?

 

Believe what you want, but I'm telling you the truth: Winning percentage means nothing in this business as the above illustration will prove time and time again. Of course, crafty salesmen masquerading as handicappers can spin gold using the second scenario, but I feel it's my job to educate you about what is the TRUTH in this business - whether you become my customer or not.

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1 Day of Action $99
7 Days $449
30 Days $999

 Every Play - Every Sport

From All Pick Nation Experts


NOTE:

(Any "Guarantee" applying to Guaranteed Plays and Resulting

Free Service is NOT included)


Steve Budin, Mathew Parker, Matt Rivers,

Dom Chambers (NHL) and Gabe DuPont (NHL) 

do NOT release plays everyday


Trace Adams' Pay After You Win Plays

(which are NEVER Best Bets) are not included


Upgrade From One Package To Another at Anytime

Instant Rebates Available Upon Upgrades!

Help Charity Play of the Week Discount Picks
Featured Videos
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Time Teams Score Stat Open Westgate 5 Dimes Pinnacle CRIS Carib
Sunday, June 17th - NATIONAL LEAGUE
1:35 PM
901 CIN
902 PIT
8
6
FINAL
FINAL
+120
-140
8½o20
-147
8½o15
-143
8½o13
-140
8½o17
-145
8½o15
-165
1:35 PM
903 SDG
904 ATL
1
4
FINAL
FINAL
8½o19
-150
8½u15
-115
8½u15
-112
8½u10
-113
8½u20
-114
8½u15
-115
2:10 PM
905 PHI
906 MIL
10
9
FINAL
FINAL
8u15
-110
-113
-117
-123
8o25
-128
8½u15
-120
8o20
8:05 PM
907 CUB
908 STL
0
0
TOP
5th
-119
8½u19
-115
8½u15
-116
8½u20
-115
8½u17
-115
8½u20
-150
8½u15
4:10 PM
909 SFO
910 LOS
4
1
FINAL
FINAL

-150
8½u15
-176
8½o20
-178
8½o15
-183
8½o19
-180
8½o15
-205
4:10 PM
911 NYM
912 ARI
5
3
FINAL
FINAL
9u20
-155
8½o30
-127
8½o25
-125
8½o25
-125
9
-126
8½o25
-135
Sunday, June 17th - AMERICAN LEAGUE
1:10 PM
913 MIN
914 CLE
1
4
FINAL
FINAL

-140
10u15
-144
9½o30
-143
9½o26
-148
10
-145
9½o20
-155
2:05 PM
915 TAM
916 NYY
3
1
FINAL
FINAL
9
-245
9½u15
-240
9½u15
-230
9½u11
-232

-240

-305
2:10 PM
917 DET
918 CWS
3
1
FINAL
FINAL
-110
-110
-115
9o25
-117
9½u20
-114
9½u17
-114
9½u15
-115
9o25
2:15 PM
919 HOU
920 KAN
7
4
FINAL
FINAL
-250
9o20
-250
-250
-243
9½o06
-245
9½u20
-280
4:05 PM
921 LAA
922 OAK
5
6
FINAL
FINAL
-110
-110
-118
-118
8½o15
-119
8½o10
-121
8½o19
8½o15
-110
4:10 PM
923 BOS
924 SEA
9
3
FINAL
FINAL
-130
8o19
-145
-150
-152
8½u05
-153
-145
Sunday, June 17th - INTERLEAGUE
1:05 PM
925 MIA
926 BAL
4
10
FINAL
FINAL
8½o19
-160
8½o20
-180
8½o20
-180
8½o15
-182
8½o20
-180
8½o20
-180
1:05 PM
927 WAS
928 TOR
6
8
FINAL
FINAL
-115
-130
9½o15
-127
-125
9o30
-126
9½u15
-135
9o30
3:05 PM
929 COL
930 TEX
12
13
FINAL
FINAL
-135
+115
-120
10u15
-120
10
-118
9½o25
-124
10o11
-120
9½o25
Monday, June 18th - NATIONAL LEAGUE
7:05 PM
951 STL
952 PHI
    -112
8½u20
8½u15
-105
8½u15
-105
8½u10
-104
-106
8½u15
-110
7:05 PM
953 MIL
954 PIT
    -145
8½o20
-130
9
-127
8½o25
-127
8½o25
-132
9u19
-130
8½o25
8:05 PM
955 LOS
956 CUB
    -115
-105
-116
+106
-120
+110
-118
+109
-119
+109
-120
+100
8:40 PM
957 NYM
958 COL
    -130
-125
9½o15
-126
9½o15
-125
9½o10
-125
9½o17
-125
9½o15
10:15 PM
959 MIA
960 SFO
    7½u19
-145
7½u15
-142
7½u15
-142
7½u10
-141
7½u19
-144
7½u15
-140
Monday, June 18th - AMERICAN LEAGUE
7:10 PM
961 CWS
962 CLE
    +170
-205
8½o15
-240
8½o15
-235
8½o10
-235
8½o15
-236
8½o15
-235
8:10 PM
963 TAM
964 HOU
               
8:15 PM
965 TEX
966 KAN
    9½o15
-110
9½o15
-108
9½o25
-107
9½o21
-107
9½o22
-110
9½o25
-110
Monday, June 18th - INTERLEAGUE
10:05 PM
967 ARI
968 LAA
    -115
8½u20
-108
8u25
-108
8u15
-108
8u10
-108
8u15
8u15
-110
7:05 PM
969 NYY
970 WAS
    -140
9o20
-120
9o20
-122
9o20
-120
9o16
-122
9o20
-130
9o20
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