No sense in trying to figure out when the Thunder will lose its second game; the only thing to think about when OKC plays is whether the oddsmakers have made the price that particular night too low or too high. Oklahoma City comes into tonight's NBA Cup quarterfinal meeting with Phoenix having won 15 straight games; they have also covered in each of their last 3 wins, all as double-digit favorites. 

Overall, the Thunder has covered in 5 of their last 8 as the double-digit favorites. True, one of the misses in that stretch of 8 games comes in a 123-119 home win over the Phoenix Suns on November 28th, but it seems unlikely OKC allows the Suns to hang around tonight with this semifinal ticket on the line.

Phoenix has dropped 4 of its past 7, including that loss to the Thunder by 4 points. That against the spread win versus OKC was the Suns' first cover this season in 4 tries when listed as the double-digit underdog.

Oklahoma City has won 7 straight and 8 of the last 9 series meetings against Phoenix, and they have gone 7-2 against the spread in those 9 meetings.

It's a big number, but something tells me tonight is not the night to play against the defending champs.

Lay it with Oklahoma City.