Winning Day # 18 of 25
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40 DIME
Winner # 14 of 21
( - # 9 of 12 in MLB - )
Yankees at Royals - 7:05 ET
Fresh off my 75 Dime Weekend Sweep!
- Commanders (3) 34-13 over Browns Sunday -
- Army (-14) 35-7 at Tulsa on Saturday -
RECENT RESULTS
Tuesday, 10/8
40 Dime - San Diego Padres (RL +135) - Loss
Monday, 10/7
40 Dime - Detroit Tigers - Win
Sunday, 10/6
75 Dime - Washington Commanders - Win
Saturday, 10/5
75 Dime - Army - Win
Friday, 10/4
40 Dime - Syracuse - Win
Thursday, 10/3
40 Dime - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-130) - Loss
Wednesday, 10/2
40 Dime - N.Y. Mets (+100) - Loss
Tuesday, 10/1
40 Dime - Detroit Tigers (+120) - Win
Monday, 9/30
50 Dime - Seattle Seahawks (-130) - Loss
Sunday, 9/29
40 Dime - Pittsburgh Steelers - Loss
Saturday, 9/28
100 Dime - Kansas State - Win
Friday, 9/27
100 Dime - Rutgers - Win
Thursday, 9/26
40 Dime - Army - Win
Wednesday, 9/25
40 Dime - Detroit Tigers - Win
Tuesday, 9/24
40 Dime - N.Y. Mets (+125) - Loss
Monday, 9/23
40 Dime - Cincinnati Bengals (-130) - Loss
Sunday, 9/22
40 Dime - Detroit Lions - Win
Saturday, 9/21
75 Dime - Clemson - Win
Friday, 9/20
40 Dime - San Jose State - Win
Thursday, 9/19
40 Dime - N.Y. Mets - Win
Wednesday, 9/18
40 Dime - N.Y. Mets (RL +130) - Win
Tuesday, 9/17
40 Dime - N.Y. Yankees - Win
Monday, 9/16
40 Dime - Atlanta Falcons - Win
Sunday, 9/15
40 Dime - Tennessee Titans (-130) - Loss
Saturday, 9/14
50 Dime - Colorado State - Loss
Friday, 9/13
75 Dime - UNLV - Win
Thursday, 9/12
50 Dime - Texas State - Loss
Wednesday, 9/11
40 Dime - N.Y. Mets - Win
Tuesday, 9/10
40 Dime - Baltimore Orioles (+110) - Win
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33-13 with All-In 100 Dime Max Wager Football Releases
since my site debut
2nd 100 Dime All-In College Max Wager Scores
Kansas St (-5') 42-20 over Oklahoma St (9/28)
- This is what I told you -
It's the old "dead number" of 5 as I type my analysis for this Big 12 clash between Oklahoma State and Kansas State, and when I see this type of a number, there is little hesitation on my part if I like the favorite, and today I happen to LOVE the favorite!
I see K-State being the team that bounces back from a rather ugly 38-9 loss in Provo against the BYU Cougars in a game that saw 3 costly turnovers lead to 3 BYU scores in a span of 3 minutes this afternoon at home against this Okie State team that dropped a 22-19 home decision to the Utah Utes.
The Cowboys scored 16 of their 19 points in 5 minutes in a frantic 4th quarter after falling behind 22-3 as QB Alan Bowman was benched in the first half before leading that 4th quarter charge, but it was too little, too late for Mike Gundy's Pokes in Stillwater.
This series has been very much home-dominated, as the host in this series has gone 5-1 in the past 6 meetings dating back to the 2018 season. The last time the Cowboys made the trip to Manhattan in October of 2022 they did not score a point in a 48-0 blowout. I am not saying Okie State gets blanked again today, but considering they are just 2-3 in their last 5 games outside of their home state with just 1 cover in those 5 games, a case can be made to play against Coach Gundy's team when the suitcase is packed.
The Wildcats have been a strong percentage play at home where they did cover 6 of their 7 games a season ago, and are off to a 2-0 start this season at home, including a 31-7 romp over new conference rivals Arizona. The 'Cats have been able to score 31 points or more in 3 of their 4 games and with the Cowboys' offense regressing against a quality defense last weekend, I do believe the Wildcats' defense will be able to slow the Cowboys' rushing attack which will allow the strong K-State pass rush to get after the QB and create some good field position for the Wildcats' offense to operate.
With both teams coming off a conference loss last weekend, this game becomes quite big in the conference standings. With the game being played at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, the advantage rests with the home team.
Take Kansas State.
1st 100 Dime All-In College Max Wager Scores
Rutgers (-1') 21-18 over Washington (9/27)
- This is what I told you -
It took a while for me to come with this big of a release in the college ranks, but the wait will be worth it when Rutgers defends its turf at SHI Stadium in its Big Ten battle against the Washington Huskies.
Washington made its conference debut last Saturday when it hosted and beat Northwestern, 24-5. In that game, UDub held the Wildcats to 112 yards of total offense, intercepted a pair of passes, and made a 4th0quarter goal-line stand to stymie the 'Cats. That win and cover upped the Huskies ledger to 3-1 as Washington was able to bounce back from a 24-19 Apple Cup loss to Washington State the week prior.
This is a rather long trip for the Seattle-based Huskies to be making on a Friday night, but thanks to the Pac-12 disbanding as we once knew it, this is the new landscape for Jedd Fisch and his team. I don't like the distance of this road trip as the starting point for why I am backing the Scarlet Knights, but it's not the only reason.
Rutgers is off to a 3-0 start under coach Greg Schiano for the 4th straight season, as it held off Virginia Tech, 26-23 last weekend thanks to a game-winning 24-yard field goal with just under 2 minutes remaining. In reality, the game should not have been that close, as the Knights did hold a 23-7 lead on the road after 3 quarters of play. An even deeper dive into that final shows the visitors playing a bit sloppy with a pair of missed field goals, and a pair of empty trips inside the Hokies' 5-yard line. That won't happen tonight back at home where the energy should be electric with the Knights welcoming last year's national runner-up.
Make no mistake, this is NOT the same Huskies team that played for on Championship Monday, and transfer quarterback Will Rogers III is NOT Michael Penix Jr. Rogers will be up against it versus this stingy Rutgers defense that forced 3 turnovers versus V-Tech. And on offense, the Scarlet Knights' beefy O-Line will make things easier for QB Athan Kaliakmanis and his running back tandem of Kyle Monangai and Samuel Brown V.
Steve Belichick coordinates the Huskies' defense - yep, the son of that other famous Belichick - and he is a Rutgers alum, believe it or not, so expect this game to have a little added meaning for BOTH sides Friday night.
In the end, the long-distance the Huskies have to travel to play this sneaky good Rutgers team is going to lead to Washington's second loss of the season, and getting just +1 1/2 points is not enough for a play on the Huskies.
NFL Opening Night 100 Dime All-In
Max Wager Winner on the Chiefs over Baltimore (9/5)
- This is what I told you -
100 Dime Super Bowl Winner on the Chiefs
I closed the NFL season in February with a 100 dime winner on the Chiefs in the Super Bowl, and I will open the new NFL season with a 100 dime winner on the Chiefs at home against the Ravens.
Full disclosure, two weeks before my Super Bowl winner on K.C., I did lose with the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship Game in their 17-10 loss to the same Chiefs they will be facing tonight.
It was my ONLY playoff loss last year. It was my ONLY playoff loss in my last 10 postseason releases!
I will NOT make the same mistake a second time! To be blunt, I don't think Lamar Jackson is ready to step up on this opening night and pull off the upset win. There are too many negatives before both Jackson and his Ravens, and I will spell them out to you right now.
Fact, Jackson is 20-1 his last 21 games started against teams from the NFC. The primary reason for the mark is the element of surprise. When you don't see a QB like Jackson regularly, you are not prepared for what he can do to your defense, and things tend to go downhill fast.
Kansas City and its defensive coordinator tends to see Jackson and his offense regularly - this will be their 6th meeting in the Jackson-Mahomes era and KC has won 4 of the 5 so far - and the wins have come largely because of the schemes DC Steve Spagnuolo throws at Jackson.
I don't expect anything to change tonight, as Baltimore is restocking its offensive line with 3 newcomers, and unfortunately, its offensive line coach just passed away unexpectedly last week. The Ravens are also missing some key lynchpins from their defense from a season ago and all in all the task on the road tonight looks a little too big to conquer.
Last year on the opening Thursday night the Chiefs played host to Detroit and the Lions won outright ruining the Super Bowl triumph celebration before the game. No chance Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes, and Travis Kelce allow this to happen again this opening Thursday night.
Lay the field goal with the home team. Kansas City is the play tonight.
100 Dime Super Bowl Winner on the Chiefs
(9-1 L/10 Playoff Releases!)
- This is what I told you -
As those of you who have been with me will remember, I handed you an easy Wild Card winner on KC in their 26-7 home win and cover over the Miami Dolphins. I followed that winner up the following Sunday with a Divisional Round underdog win on the Chiefs outright in Buffalo over the Bills. Then came the misfire in the AFC Championship Game.
Now here we are 2 weeks later and Kansas City is getting points for the 3rd consecutive game this postseason!
The oddsmakers feel San Francisco is the better team overall, a notion that is not hard to wrap your brain around, as the 49ers have more weapons on the field today than the Chiefs, but Kansas City has Patrick Mahomes.
I am not going to sit here and bash Brock Purdy, as he has been the perfect fit for everything the 49ers are about, and he twice has rescued San Fran in these playoffs against both Green Bay, and more impressively against Detroit as the 49ers trailed by 17 points in their title game against the Lions.
The 49ers must not get behind today because they will not come back against this Chiefs team they was they did against playoff rookies Green Bay and Detroit. That's a big ask with Purdy only being in his 2nd season in the league.
As you are aware, this is KC's 4th trip to the big game in the past 5 years, and as you are also aware, this is a rematch of their game 4 years ago when they completed the 2nd largest comeback in Super Bowl history by outscoring Kyle Shanahan's 49ers, 21-0 in the 4th quarter of their 31-20 win over Frisco.
Of course, Shanahan was the play-caller in the game that saw the largest Super Bowl comeback, as his Atlanta Falcons led New England, 28-3 late in the 3rd quarter of their Super Bowl game, and somehow managed to lose the contest.
That was then, this is now, and the fact of the matter is, Patrick Mahomes is just TOO DAMN GOOD!
No disrespect whatsoever to this San Francisco team, they deserve to be here today. I just think Kansas City is the play today.
You can say, the Chiefs were held scoreless in the second half of their 17-10 win at Baltimore, but I will counter with the fact Mahomes was just nursing that lead, and if he needed a big play - like the late 3rd down completion to Valdes-Scantling to ice the game - it was always there.
Mahomes knew with the Chiefs' defense dominating there was no need to take any major risks on the road in the rain.
Steve Spagnuolo has come up with 3 defensive schemes over the 3 playoff games, and all have been brilliant. No doubt in my mind, he will be ready for 2nd-year quarterback Brock Purdy today.
This game could well come down to who makes the more costly mistake under center, and with Mahomes owning a 14-3 career postseason record, I guess that it will be Purdy who blinks first.
I have a feeling we are in for a whale of a game today. You can mark me down for a play on the Chiefs to be the team that raises the Lombardi Trophy for the 2nd season in a row, and the 3rd time over the last 5 years.
75 Dime Winner on Michigan
in the National Championship Game
- This is what I told you -
I am hitching my wagon tonight to the Michigan Wolverines to take this year's college football championship game both straight up and against the spread in this battle of unbeaten teams.
This is not a knock at all on Washington and their fantastic quarterback Michael Penix Jr., after all, the Huskies have won 21 straight games dating back to last year and they have gone 5-0 both straight up and against the spread the last 5 times they have been installed as the underdog, and that includes a 3-0 mark this season.
You are also familiar with the saying "defense travels" I am guessing, and that is the main crux of my analysis on the Wolverines for tonight's game at NRG Stadium.
Penix may rate the edge over Michigan quarterback JJ McCarthy, but Michigan owns the #1 scoring defense in the nation, and after settling in in their semifinal win over Alabama, the Wolverines' defense was indeed the difference against the Tide as they were able to generate 6 sacks on Jalen Milroe, and also able to snuff out the 4th and goal overtime quarterback draw from the 3-yard line that ended the contest.
The Michigan defense will be the difference tonight and don't discount the Michigan run offense also doing damage and limiting Washington's possessions.
The fact of the matter is the Washington defense is 54th in the country in scoring defense and 97th in total defense. Keeping that in mind, if the Huskies were able to pull off the upset tonight, it would be the first time since 2010 when Auburn and Cam Newton won the national championship with a defense that ranked outside of the Top 50 in both of those major statistical categories.
It has been a magical ride for this year's Huskies team, but it just feels to me like this is Jim Harbaugh's time. The Wolverines may have gotten into hot water with their elaborate signal-stealing scheme, but they have used that "us against the world" mentality to their advantage.
I was really impressed with the way the Wolverines did not wilt against Alabama and Nick Saban, and no disrespect to Kalen DeBoer and Washington, but if you can topple 'Bama, you can topple the Huskies.
Go with Michigan tonight for the win and cover.
75 Dime Winner on Kansas City over Philadelphia
in the Super Bowl two years ago
- This is what I told you -
As you may or may not know I am based in the Philadelphia area, so I feel I bring a definite informed perspective when it comes to handicapping the local team, the E-A-G-L-E-S.
Just because I am from the area doesn't mean I am a "homer". In fact, quite the contrary on this second Sunday in this month of February, and you know full well that I handed you a 100 dime all-in max wager winner on Championship Sunday with the Philadelphia Eagles rolling the San Francisco 49ers.
I have listened to each and every report there is to listen to over the days leading up to this Super Bowl game, and as much as I would like to see the Eagles win this game, I cannot let my personal feelings get in the way of delivering this one last NFL winner on this last game of the season.
My pick in today's game is on the Kansas City Chiefs over the Philadelphia Eagles.
No question Philadelphia is a deserving favorite, they have answered the bell every step of the way this year, and their blowout playoff wins over the Giants and the 49ers cannot be overlooked, but this is also a Philadelphia team that is playing in this big game for the first time with head coach Nick Sirianni and quarterback Jalen Hurts, and while some of the members remain from the Eagles team that wound up beating New England in the Super Bowl in February of 2018, it is important to remember that Kansas City appeared in back-to-back big games AFTER that Eagles win, with KC defeating San Francisco in 2020, and then falling the following year in ugly fashion to Tampa Bay in 2021.
There was a - excuse my language - shit ton of variables in that 31-9 loss to the Buccaneers, chief among them Tampa Bay and Brady were playing in their home stadium. Throw in the tragic accident involving Andy Reid's son with the off-ramp car accident that would lead to his dismissal from the league, and also the fact that the Chiefs offensive line was decimated and you can understand why Kansas City got taken to the woodshed.
This time around Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes will show their greatness. Yes, Mahomes has a high ankle sprain, but by all accounts, it will not limit the game plan in place for this game. On the other side, I am quite sure that Jalen Hurts has NOT fully recovered from his right shoulder sprain. If you watched his limited passes during this postseason it is clear he is not "right".
I don't disagree that the offensive line for Philly is key to this game, but the KC linemen have been listening to that talk for the better part of 2 weeks now, as have the linemen on the defensive side of the football for the Chiefs, and you can assume both units will be ready to go in this game.
Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo has been around the block a few times and I feel sure he will not allow the Eagles to beat his team by running all over them. He's a lot smarter than I am, that is for sure, but even I know the way to take Philly out of this game is to make Hurts THROW THE FOOTBALL!
If (and I expect them to be successful more than a few times) the Kansas City defense is able to keep Hurts and the Birds from playing with the lead in this game, I do not feel Philadelphia is a team that is built to play from behind.
I am counting on the Chiefs to grab the early lead and keep the Eagles at bay come the later stages of this game.
Go with Kansas City in Super Bowl LVII.
Winning Day # 18 of 25
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40 DIME
Winner # 14 of 21
( - # 9 of 12 in MLB - )
Yankees at Royals - 7:05 ET
Fresh off my 75 Dime Weekend Sweep!
- Commanders (3) 34-13 over Browns Sunday -
- Army (-14) 35-7 at Tulsa on Saturday -
$99
The Padres crossed home plate 6 times in the 2nd inning for the 6-1 lead. You would think that would be good enough to carry them on the Run Line +135, but it was not. San Diego won, but a 6-5 final does me no good.
Still 4 of the past 5 days on the plus side, and tonight I shift to the A.L.D.S. and Game 3 of the Yankees-Royals series.
Winning Day # 18 of 25
$10 bettors up $5,420 L/24 days
40 DIME
Winner # 14 of 21
( - # 9 of 12 in MLB - )
Yankees at Royals - 7:05 ET
Fresh off my 75 Dime Weekend Sweep!
- Commanders (3) 34-13 over Browns Sunday -
- Army (-14) 35-7 at Tulsa on Saturday -
Football is set to take center stage starting tomorrow. First let's nail another baseball winner for you.
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Rick Torino's Rating System
Pretty simple really. Like many others on this site I like the "dime" rating system. It's easy to understand and it puts plays in perspective.The high point of the scale is a 100-dime release. Obviously they don't come along every single day. My goal (and the goal of any self-respective handicapper) is to make money over the long haul, consistently churning out a profit. It's all about management from a financial perspective.
When I'm releasing 50- or 75-dime plays they aren't to be ignored. Instead, their strength has to be considered relative to what type of roll I'm on at that moment and the size of my bankroll heading into the contest. Never lose sight of the fact that it's all perspective when it comes to rating plays.
Who is Rick Torino?
Sports and gambling; they go hand-in-hand.I played them all growing up. I covered them all as a journalist. I've bet them all as a gambler.
I bring a unique perspective to being a handicapper: I was a College & Pro Football Editor at a national sports wire service for nearly 10 years. I coordinated all of our draft coverage for a decade, but my responsibilities didn't end when the season did. I also used my sources and contacts to compile the injury reports (for all sports) that sportsbooks in Vegas and bookmakers everywhere relied on in the days before leagues and teams were so forthcoming with such info.
This is the first time I've made my plays available anywhere. And this is the ONLY place you'll find them. Just one play a day.