I'm looking at the under in Sunday's AFC Championship game for my complimentary winner, as I like the Kansas City Chiefs and Tennessee Titans to play ball-controlled offensive sets, and do everything possible to keep the ball out of each other's hands.
For Tennessee, I don't see that being an issue, with the type of defense it's employed in winning its last three - all on the road - with a stifling defense that held Houston, New England and Baltimore to 14, 13 and 12 points, respectively, in their buildings.
And while everyone was impressed with the playoff wins - over the Patriots and Ravens - I want to touch on how the run started, in Houston. Two weeks prior the Titans hosted Houston in Tennesee, where the Texans rolled in and out of town with a 24-21 win. That sent the Titans spiraling a bit, as they then lost 38-28 at home to the New Orleans Saints.
So to rebound in the regular-season finale to clinch a spot in the postseason, by returning the favor in Houston with a 35-14 win, I'd have to say that was the most impressive win during this three-game win streak. It was that victory that gave them the confidence boost they'd need the first two weeks of the postseason.
Now they roll into Arrowhead Stadium with a weatlh of confidence with a chance to return to the Super Bowl, and the one way to do it is with defense and a strong rushing game that will drain clock and control possession.
For the Chiefs, the motive has to be somewhat the same, in terms of conservative football. And not because they're scared of Tennessee's offense, but more so because they have to milk their possessions, knowing they can be limited if the Titans' defense is clicking.
Then again, since the Titans scored 35 points in a three-point win on Nov. 10, the Chiefs know how dangerous Tennessee can be. Tannehill led the NFL with a 117.5 passer rating in 2019, the fourth-highest single-season mark in NFL history among qualified passers.
For a game that features a pair of prolific offensive standouts in Henry and Chiefs quarterback Pat Mahomes, I'm counting on the defensive units to star in this game and keep the under low.