- October 14: 500♦ Western Kentucky - WIN
- October 13: 500♦ Jacksonville St - PUSH
- October 12: 400♦ Tampa Bay Rays (+130 RL) - Loss
- October 11: 500♦ Houston Texans - WIN
- October 10: 2000♦ Penn State - Loss
- October 9: 400♦ Washington - Loss
- October 8: 1000♦ Liberty - WIN
- October 7: 500♦ Jacksonville St - Loss
- October 6: 500♦ Atlanta Braves (-105) - Loss
- October 5: 400♦ Atlanta Falcons - WIN
- October 4: 500♦ Minnesota Vikings - Loss
- October 3: 1500♦ Kansas - WIN
- October 2: 500♦ Pitt - WIN
- October 1: 1000♦ Tulsa - WIN
- September 30: 400♦ Philadelphia Phillies - WIN
- September 29: 400♦ Atlanta Braves (+110 RL) - WIN
- September 28: 400♦ Chicago Bears - WIN
- September 27: 1000♦ New Orleans Saints - Loss
- September 26: 1500♦ Appalachian State - WIN
- September 25: 500♦ Northwestern - WIN
- September 24: 1000♦ Liberty - WIN
- September 23: 500♦ Chicago Cubs (+140 RL) - Loss
- September 22: 500♦ Philadelphia Phillies - WIN
- September 21: 400♦ New York Giants - Loss
- September 20: 1500♦ L.A. Chargers - Loss
- September 19: 1000♦ Northwestern - WIN
- September 18: 500♦ Houston - WIN
- September 17: 1000♦ Pitt - WIN
- September 16: 500♦ Phillies (RL) - WIN
- September 15: 500♦ Guardians - WIN
- September 14: 1500♦ Denver Broncos - Loss
- September 13: 500♦ Pittsburgh Steelers - WIN
- September 12: 2000♦ Pitt - Loss
- September 11: PASS
- September 10: 1500♦ LA Rams - Loss
- September 9: 1500♦ Seahawks (buy 1/2 point) - WIN
- September 8: 500♦ Astros (+120) - WIN
- September 7: 1500♦ SMU (buy 1/2 point) - WIN
- September 6: 1500♦ Louisville - WIN
- September 5: 1500♦ Pitt - WIN
- September 4: 1500♦ USC - WIN
- September 3: 500♦ Delaware - WIN
- September 2: 500♦ Yankees (+110 RL) - WIN
- 2006 ... WIN: Blank Check Steelers-Seahawks Under 47
- 2007 ... WIN: 3000♦ Bears-Colts Under 47
- 2008 ... WIN: 1000♦ Giants +12' vs. Patriots
- 2009 ... WIN: 1000♦ Cardinals +6' vs. Steelers
- 2010 ... WIN: 600♦ Saints-Colts Under 56'
- 2011 ... LOSS: 2000♦ Packers-Steelers Under 45
- 2012 ... WIN: 1000♦ Giants-Patriots Under 53'
- 2013 ... WIN: 400♦ Ravens-49ers Over 48
- 2014 ... LOSS: 2000♦ Broncos-Seahawks Under 47'
- 2015 ... WIN: 500♦ Teaser Seahawks and Under vs. Patriots
- 2016 ... WIN: 500♦ Broncos-Panthers Under 44
- 2017 ... WIN: 1000♦ Patriots -3 vs. Falcons
- 2018 ... LOSS: 2000♦ Patriots -4' vs. Eagles
- 2019 ... WIN: 600♦ Patriots-Rams Under 55'
- 2020 ... WIN: 600♦ Chiefs Moneyline -125 vs. 49ers
- 2021 ... WIN: 600♦ Buccaneers +3 vs. Chiefs
- 2022 ... WIN: 600♦ Bengals-Rams Under 48'
- 2023 ... LOSS: 600♦ Eagles-Chiefs Under 51
- 2024 ... PUSH: 500♦ 49ers-Chiefs Over 47
- 2025 ... WIN: 300♦ Eagles +1' over Chiefs
- 2026 ... LOSS: 1000♦ Patriots +4' vs. Seahawks
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Chris Jordan's Rating System
Everyone should be on the same page for each new campaign and how to approach each season.
You first must understand the Kelly Criterion, sometimes referred to as the Kelly formula; it's a blueprint I like to use to maximize the long-term growth rate of our bankroll, using repeated gambles of the variety of ratings I give out.
That criterion says an aggressive gambler should wager a set percentage of his bankroll, pertaining to the advantage (or rating system in this case) he feels he has over the game itself.
For those of you who play blackjack when visiting casinos, you may do the same thing in determining there is a one percent advantage over the dealer, and wager 1 percent of the total bankroll.
The key thing to remember is determining the percentage your using, and the maximum you'd be willing to risk on the top rating you will find here, which is the 1,000♦ Power Play.
On a daily basis you will find my plays ranging from from 100♦ and 1,000♦, but well within percentages you can effectively spread your wagers. When you do see the rating system on plays upgraded to a higher level, I will always talk about managing the bankroll accordingly.
Remember, a 1,000♦ play does not indicate a specific amount for everyone in general, it means if you're absolute biggest play you're willing to make is a nickel - that is your gauge with this rating system.
You need only divide accordingly from your absolute maximum amount into whatever the rating is, based on 1,000♦ being the highest rating.
Overall, you will find that I like to keep it consistent day-to-day so you know exactly when I'm stepping out on a big play.
Please follow these ratings accordingly.
IMPORTANT NOTE:
The occasional 2,000♦, 3,000♦ or BLANK CHECK releases are games I feel are extreme value for the price, or in Kelly Criterion theory - is more of an advantage over the book.
I have always personally played a Blank Check game FIVE TIMES THE SIZE of my regular maximum bet. So, for example, on day I am releasing a Blank Check Winner, one 1,000♦ play and three 200♦ picks, a player with a maximum wager of $500 would wager the following:
Blank Check play - $2,500
1,000♦ Plays - $500
200♦ Plays - $100 each
With the vig, you would have a total of $3,630 in action.
Hope this helps in regards to money management!
Complimentary Winner
Colorado State and Texas State have put together an impressive run of high-scoring games, and despite a big Friday night total, the over is worth a look.
The Rams have played all five games this season over the posted total and have now gone over in seven straight dating back to last season. Texas State has also been an over team, cashing in four of its five games this season, including each of its last three. Those trends are backed by offensive production and defensive struggles on both sides.
Colorado State is averaging 37.4 points and 448.4 yards per game, including 273.2 passing yards and 175.2 rushing yards. The Rams have scored at least 23 points in every game this season, including 45 against UTSA and 26 against Oregon State in their last two outings. Texas State has allowed 300.4 passing yards per game, creating a favorable matchup for a Colorado State offense that has demonstrated the ability to produce through the air.
The Bobcats have enough offensive firepower to do their share of the scoring. Texas State is averaging 34.8 points and 531.6 total yards per game, and quarterback Brad Jackson threw for 372 yards and three touchdowns in the recent 31-29 loss to San Diego State. The Bobcats have topped 500 yards of offense in each of their last three games, while Colorado State hits the road allowing 38.6 points per game.
Texas State is surrendering 33.2. Both defenses have shown vulnerabilities that could keep the scoreboard busy. The posted total is high, but the combination of explosive offenses and struggling defenses makes the over my play.