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Washington at PHILADELPHIA (47')

By Andy Fanelli, Featured Handicapper

One play today. One winner today, and it WILL BE a winner.

It's been a real struggle this week in basketball, as I have been off the scent.

Today I will recalibrate with an NFL winner in this AFC Championship Game.

75 DIME
NFL Winner # 18 of 28

Buffalo at Kansas City - 6:30 ET

Perfect 2-0 with my plays involving
Buffalo in the Playoffs!

MATCHES last Sunday's 75 Dime NFL Winner # 17 of 27
- Bills (+1') 27-25 over Ravens -

All about this Bills-Chiefs late-day release. Time to take care of business.

The weather at Lincoln Financial Field for this last Saturday in January looks just fine as far as any snow, ice, or rain is concerned.

Yes, it will be a cold day in South Philadelphia but I don't see that affecting the scoring that I do expect for this NFC Championship Game between these East Division rivals.

When these teams last played on December 22nd the combined total was 69 points in a game that easily landed Over the posted total. That Over pushed the series numbers to 4-1 Over the total in the last 5 meetings.

The Commanders just combined with the Lions for 76 points in their Divisional Round win that sailed well Over the posted price, as Washington is posting 29.1 points per game for the year, and is now 12-7 Over the total this season.

The Eagles just combined with the Rams for 50 points on this field in the snow last Sunday in a game that landed Over the total, and Philly is averaging 27 points per game for the season.

I feel the offense will be there today in an NFC title game that lands Over the posted price.

2* WASHINGTON-PHILADELPHIA OVER



Buffalo at KANSAS CITY (-2)

By Chris Jordan, Featured Handicapper

Ready for Winning Day # 3 in a Row?

Nailed Friday's 400♦ on VCU, as it took care of St. Bonaventure.

Nailed Saturday's 1000♦ on Creighton, as it took care of Seton Hall. 

I'm on a 24-13 run with all football plays, and a 12-5 run in the NFL Playoffs dating back. Today I'm raising the bar with something 50% stronger than Creighton with 1500♦ NFL Winner # 8 of 12.

It's an NFC East showdown, and I love the number with this rubber match between the Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles.

Third-Biggest Release of the Season Goes Again

Football Winner # 25 of 38

NFL Playoff Winner # 13 of 18

~~~~~~~~~~

Up-the-Ante
1500♦
Winner # 34 of 48
and # 8 of 12 in the NFL -

Washington at Philadelphia
3:00 Eastern

STRONGER THAN Saturday's 1000♦ CBB Winner # 11 of 14
Creighton (-16) by 25 over Seton Hall

STRONGER THAN Friday's 400♦ CBB Winner # 15 of 22
VCU (-12') by 14 over St. Bonaventure

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

$1 bettors have made $144,405 with
his plays rated 1,000♦ or higher since 2006

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My complimentary winner is the Kansas City Chiefs over the Buffalo Bills.

There’s only been two quarterbacks that have beaten Patrick Mahomes in the playoffs in his eight-year career. Josh Allen isn't one of them, and he won’t be joining that club on tonight. Mahomes has proven to be a completely different beast in the playoffs against everyone - especially against the Bills.

Mahomes has a 1-4 career record against Buffalo during the regular season with 260 pass yards per game and a 10/7 TD/INT ratio, but when he faces the Bills in the playoffs he is 3-0 with 306 pass yards per game and an 8/0 TD/INT ratio to go along with a 126.6 passer rating. 

Mahomes threw two interceptions in the first meeting with the Bills, but he hasn’t thrown an interception since. Mahomes hasn’t thrown an interception in six straight postseason games and the Chiefs are 8-0 both straight up and against the spread in playoff games in which they are either underdogs or favored by 3 points or less.

The Chiefs have covered in each of Mahomes’ last four starts and have won three of their last five games by two possessions or more despite not having any such games until Week 15.

While the Chiefs are clearly peaking at the right time, it might be fair to say that the Bills peaked too early. From Weeks 7 through 15, the Bills scored 30+ points in eight straight games and won seven of them. In Buffalo’s five games since, they’ve been held under 30 points four times and Allen has been held to zero touchdown passes in two of his last three games against lesser defenses than KC’s.

And I want you to honestly answer this question when I ask you if the Baltimore Ravens should've won last week's playoff game against the Bills. Sorry, but using the same formula - mixed with luck and favorable calls - isn't going to work at Arrowhead Stadium.

And for those who think the refs favor the Chiefs, chew on these numbers: the Chiefs have had 20 fewer penalty yards per game than opponent in last 11 playoff games. And, with roughing the passer calls per 100 pass attempts, we have Josh Allen (.936) getting more than Patrick Mahomes (.636). And, 31.6% of Allen's roughing calls came on third down while 29% of Mahomes' roughing calls were on 3rd down.

So, who's getting the calls?

Momentum favors the Chiefs here and I think they win by 5-7 points.

1* CHIEFS



CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKEND PROPS

By Jackson Reyes, Featured Handicapper

Ready for Winning Play # 9 of 12?

Told you I'd bounce back last night with another 60 Dime winner, and sure enough Xavier (-2) got it done with a four-point win over UConn.

Tonight I have something just as strong with the total from the AFC Championship, as the Buffalo Bills look to finally upset the Kansas City Chiefs.

I'm on a 20-7-1 run with all 60 Dimers, and this play is just as strong.

I've won with eight of the last 11 plays with $10 bettors up nearly $3K.

WINNING DAY # 9 OF 12
- $10 bettors up $2,900 L/11 -

60 DIME
Winner # 21 of 28
and second straight in the NFL -

Championship Weekend
Total of the Year

Buffalo at Kansas City
6:30 Eastern

MATCHING my third-ever 60 Dimer in College Hoops
Xavier (-2) by 4 over UConn on Saturday

MATCHING my 60 Dime NFL Winner
Chargers (-7) 34-20 at Raiders (1/5)

My free winners for Sunday are my best prop bets, one from each game.

Saquon Barkley Rushing (OV 122')

Saquon Barkley is hotter than a fox in a forest fire this season and he’s coming off an unbelievable 205 yards on 7.9 yards per carry in the snow against the Rams in last Sunday’s divisional round matchup. It was Barkley’s second 200-yard effort of the season and his eighth in which he ran for 140 or more yards including both meetings against Washington in the regular season.

Barkley’s two best performances did come against a Rams defense that’s ranked 28th in the league with 136.9 yards allowed on the ground per game. Luckily for Saquon and the Eagles, the Commanders are one of only four teams in the league who were worse than the Rams against the run this season as they were 30th in the league with 138.9 yards allowed.

With Jalen Hurts also working his way back to 100% after tweaking his knee in the divisional round, I expect the Eagles to lean on Barkley and the run game heavily. Especially in the second half, where they will likely be trying to hold on to a one or two possession lead while trying to drain the clock. Barkley has proven to be a playoff riser in his career, gaining 100+ yards of total offense in three of his four career playoff appearances. The Commanders didn’t hold Barkley under 140 yards for a reason this year, much less 122.5, so take this one and don’t look back.

Patrick Mahomes Interception (NO -115)

Patrick Mahomes hasn’t thrown an interception in an NFL record six consecutive games and that streak is likely to continue today against a Bills team that’s going to be without star safety and lead ballhawk Taylor Rapp.

In Rapps’ place will be rookie Cole Bishop out of Utah, who will be lined up alongside FS Damar Hamlin in Buffalo’s secondary, which will almost certainly cause complications for the Bills two-high safety defense that crippled Mahomes and the Chiefs in their first meeting this season. 

Mahomes was 13 of 18 with an INT and just 5.2 yards per attempts versus two-high looks the first time these two teams met in November, and Mahomes has just a 5-to-6 TD-to-INT ratio with 6.4 yards per attempt when facing two-high looks overall this season. Luckily for Pat, that probably won’t be too much of an issue today.

With an inexperienced Bishop – who has had trouble grasping the Bills’ high-level defense this season – filling in for Rapp, I expect the Bills may have to resort to man coverage at some point in an effort to stop the Mahomes-Kelce connection in the middle of the field. That would just work further in Kansas City’s favor. The experience that dynamic Chiefs duo will be bringing against a shorthanded Bills defense will be the difference, and it could turn into an outright clinic if things go the way the trends are pointing. I expect very few mistakes out of Mahomes today, none of which will be an interception.

Mahomes hasn't thrown an interception since throwing two against the Bills in that initial meeting. One of those passes was intercepted by Rapp and that was the one that came in the two-high look, so really that just shows more of what Buffalo's defense will be missing when turning to Bishop on Sunday.

1* OVER BARKLEY RUSHING 1* NO MAHOMES INT