They continue to get no respect.
Huge game in "Duval" county as a pair of 8-4 teams square off for the division lead.
Let's examine the 8 wins of both teams.
Only 2 of the Colts 8 wins have come against a winning team, the week 2 win at home over Denver in a game they should never have won.
And the week 7 win at the LA Chargers, an impressive 38-24 road win.
Other than that, the other 6 wins came against teams with a combined record of.....wait for it....14-41.
On the other hand, 4 of the 8 Jags wins have come against winning teams: The 7-5 Panthers, the 7-5 Texans, the 9-4 Niners and the 8-4 Chargers.
And let's not forget the Monday night win at home over the 6-6 Chiefs 31-28.
Their 8 wins have come against teams with a combined record of 43-55!!!
Let those numbers sink in for a minute.
This Jacksonville team has played one bad game all year long: week 7 at home against the Rams, who beat them soundly 35-7.
Other than that, the other 3 losses were at Cincinnati 31-27, at home to Seattle 20-12 and at Houston 36-29.
The Seattle game they flat out got beat but they threw away the Bengals game giving up a TD with 18 seconds to go and blew a 29-10 4th quarter lead to Houston.
Dare I say, objectively speaking, they should be 10-2?????
Since the Texans loss, they've won 3 in a row both SU/ATS with a home blowout of the Chargers 35-6, road win in OT over Arizona 27-24 and at Titans last week 25-3.
Now comes Indy at home, a team they have beaten 10 straight in Jacksonville.
We're talking 10 in a row.
And the Colts come in here having lost 3 of their last 4 and they were very fortunate to get the one win they did, the OT win at Atlanta.
Much of this losing streak can be attributed to the play of QB Daniel Jones, who hasn't been very good the last 4 weeks.
Blame the leg, blame his brain but he just hasn't been very good and now you want me to trust he is going to "find" it in a place this team hasn't won since 2014???
Sorry, I will force Jones to beat me last week against Houston and he couldn't and I will force him again today.
My dollar says, on this field, in these rainy conditions, he can't.
The Jags are the best team in this division and they get the win early today.
Today they won't let it slip away.
The first go around on Miami/Ohio's home field, on a cold night in October, was a game the Western Michigan Broncos were in complete control of.
Up 17-9 at the end of the 3rd quarter they went 3 and Out and the Redhawks responded with a 9-play 68 yard drive to cut it to 17-15.
Western Michigan would drive to the Miami 38 yard line and facing a 4th and 4, Broncos head coach Lance Taylor punted instead of going for it.
It's a decision he would live to regret.
Miami would go on a 6-play 88 yard drive to take a 23-17 lead and with all momentum gone, WMU would fumble on their next possession. GAME OVER.
The star of the game was Redhawks QB Finn, who accounted for 312 of the 408 total yards: 52 yards rushing and 260 yards passing.
Well, Finn played the next game, a road loss at Oho, a 24-20 and after the game, proceeded to quit on his team and focus on training for the NFL draft!! Hmmm.
After the 24-3 loss at home to Toledo, redshirt freshman Thomas Gotkowski guided them to 2 season ending wins at Buffalo 37-20 and Ball St at home 45-24.
Now he is starting only the 3rd game of his career, the MAC championship game, against a very good Western Michigan team.
The Broncos started the year 0-3 with competitive losses at Michigan State 23-6 and North Texas at home in OT 33-30 before the blowout loss at Illinois 38-0.
They have gone 8-1 since (6-2 ATS) with the only non covers being the loss at Miami and the 24-21 home win over CMU laying 6.
Against 5 common opponents in MAC play, WMU went 5-0 SU/ATS winning by an average of 28-13 while Miami went 3-2 SU/ATS winning by an average of 27-23.
But again, most of the Miami statistics are with Finn at QB and now Gotkowski.
This is the 3rd straight season this game will be a rematch of the regular season meeting and the winning team is just 1-3 SU.
Pound for pound, Western Michigan is just the better team and they won't let this one slip away on a neutral field, indoors at Ford Field.
Lay the small number as the Broncos roll to the MAC championship.
You knew it was only a matter of time.
Week 8 when the Colts beat the Titans at home 38-14 to go to 8-1, everywhere I turned people were calling this team the best team in football.
I was not one of them.
At the time only 2 of those wins were against a winning team, the week 2 win at home over Denver in a game they should never have won.
And the week 7 win at the LA Chargers, an impressive 38-24 road win.
Other than that, the other 6 wins came against teams with a combined record of.....wait for it....14-41.
We're talking 2 wins against the 1-10 Titans, the 4-7 Dolphins, the 2-10 Raiders, the 4-7 Cardinals and the 4-7 Falcons.
Now they face a team that has won 6 of their last 8 since their 0-3 start, putting themselves right back in the playoff hunt, every game a must win.
And a team that boasts the #1 defense in the NFL, that just sacked the hardest QB's in the NFL to sack, Josh Allen, 8 times and now they go after Daniel Jones.
A QB, who has reverted back to his old self, the QB we all remember with the New York Giants.
In the loss at Pittsburgh he threw 3 INT's and in the OT win over Atlanta at home he threw another.
And last week at Kansas City, he was absolutely god awful going 19 of 31 for 181 yards, missing open receivers all day long and some horrible decisions on 3rd down.
In the 2nd half alone: 3rd and 1...nope....3rd and 1...nope and 3rd and 3...nope.
If I have said it once I have said it a million times: Daniel Jones is one of the worst QB's the NFL has ever seen if he feels pressure, He just doesn't handle it well.
And today, he will feel pressure all day long and as we all know, pressure equals problems. And it will be a problem for Jones today.
With CJ Stroud back at QB, this Texans team is playing their best ball of the year right now and that makes them a dangerous underdog today.
Just a couple of numbers for you: Houston is 13-3 ATS as a divisional dog of more than 2-points including 5-0 ATS with a better than .500 record.
Don't be surprised to see this little doggy shock the world today and win.
I will ride and die with this home dog again.
Two familiar foes go at it again with the conference championship game on the line.
Winner is in, the loser needs Liberty to beat Kennesaw State and they still get in.
I believe it will be WKU rooting for Liberty when all is said and done today.
First and foremost, the only reason I believe WKU is the favorite here is the fact they went into LSU and as a 26-point road dog, only lost by 3.
This is a Jacksonville State team, who I had a 200 dime winner on 2 weeks ago at home (+3) outright over Kennesaw, that has been cash money at home in conference play.
We're talking 10-2 SU and 9-2 ATS including 7-1 ATS as a home dog.
Last year at home Western Kentucky (-1) got themselves a 19-17 win.
A week later in the conference championship on the same field they are playing on today, the Hilltoppers got destroyed 40 points....52-12!!!
Oh, and the Gamecocks ran for 386 yards in the game and now get a Western Kentucky run defense that has been gashed a few times this year.
In the road loss at Toledo they gave up 307 on the ground. It the 27-22 win at Missouri State they gave up 214 on the ground.
Their 3 conference road wins have been by a combined 9 points!!!!!
And trust me when I tell you, they had no right beating Delaware or La Tech and they really don't deserve to be in the conference championship game.
I believe in my gut the two best teams in this conference are JAX St and Kennesaw and I believe that is exactly what we will get next week in the championship.
Phase one is the Gamecocks winning here and phase 2 is KSU beating Liberty.
However, all I care about is phase one and I am as confident as I was in the Gamecocks beating Kennesaw, they will be WKU today.
I am all over this home dog big for the 2nd time in the last 3 weeks!!!!!!!
Well, it's Deja Vu all over again.
Last Saturday in Conference USA I handed you a 100 dime winner on the Ragin Cajuns (+3) at home over Texas State and they won outright 42-39.
Tonight, it's Jacksonville State (+3) at home against Kennesaw State.
Same Conference. Home dog. I expect the same result.
Now I get the fact Kennesaw has won 7 in a row since opening the season 0-2 with losses at Wake Forest 10-9 and Indiana 56-9.
And in this 7 game winning streak they have played only 2 road games but look who they've beaten.
Let's start with 4-5 FIU, who has lost 4 of their last 6 and 3-6 New Mexico State, who after trailing 24-7 at the half, had two chances in the last 30 minutes to win the game.
They held the Owls scoreless in the 2nd half and after getting it to 24-21, threw a pick at the KSU 35 with 3:25 to go and missed a 50-yard field goal to force OT with 32 seconds left.
In this winning streak, they have only beat one winning team: 5-4 Louisiana Tech.
For the life of me I can't believe they are favored against this Gamecocks team.
Jax State is riding a 4-game winning streak and playing just their 4th home game of the year.
In the previous 3 they ripped Liberty 34-24 as a 6 1/2 point dog, ripped Murray State 45-10 and ripped Delaward 38-25 getting the same number they are getting today.
I know they say Kennesaw State has a solid run defense but against the #1 run defense in the conference in UTEP, Jax State ran for 275.
This is a Gamecocks team that since joining division one are 22-12 SU and ATS including 11-3 ATS at home.
Conversely, Kennesaw State is still just 2-5 SU against winning opponents and 6-13 ATS in their division one history.
Last perspective: Last year when these two met Kennesaw State was a 17-point underdog.....and lost by 39 points!!!!!!
And they are laying points today????????
Just like last week, the wrong team is favored and I will gladly bring down the house with this monster play on the home team.
I will be shocked if the Gamecocks don't win the game outright!!!!!!
They will be denied history on Sunday.
In watching the Kansas City Chiefs going through the motions of their season, there was an incredible amount of luck in their 15-1 record.
You realistically, by no stretch of the imagination, can tear that 15-1 record to 9-7 in a blink of the eye.
It started with the Ravens week 1, Bengals week 2, Falcons week 3, Tampa OT week 9, Denver week 10, Raiders week 13 and Chargers week 14.
And when push came to shove, Carolina was sniffing the outright win before losing 30-27.
I get it, winning teams find a way to win but in my opinion, this Chiefs team has been living on borrowed time all year long and guess what? Their time is up.
They are playing a team today that is better than them. Better O'line. Better D'line. Better Running game. Better defense.
Yes, the Chiefs have the better QB and the better coach, but neither one of those things mattered when KC lost their only Super Bowl to Tampa Bay.
And you know why it didn't matter? No, it sure as fuck wasn't Tom Brady, he was atrocious in the game!!! It was because the D'line of the Bucs dominated.
And that my friends is my #1 key to this Super Bowl.
It was the main reason I told the world the Giants would beat the 18-0 Patriots and it's the main reason I am on the Eagles here.
Is it hard to go against Mahomes? Absolutely, he is hard to beat. Just ask the Niners who were up 10 in the 4th quarter of both their Super Bowl losses.
Or these Eagles, who put up 35 points on these Chiefs in the first go-round, the most points in Super Bowl history by a losing team.
They too sat back and watched Mahomes beat them in the 4th.
Does Hurts make me nervous? Not really. The kid was in his 2nd year when he lit up the Steve Spagnola defense and he is only better now.
My only concern, the only thing that makes me nervous, is defensive coordinator Vic Fangio.
He has yet to beat Mahomes. 0-6 as head coach of Denver. 0-2 as defensive coordinator of Miami. Defensive consultant for Philly in the first loss here.
So yes, that 0-9 is staring me and everyone else who likes the Eagles here.
But here's the thing.
You take away the 6-game stretch Philly had to close last season, a stretch of coaching controversy and injuries, they are 44-8.
And over these last 3 years they have the highest proportion of dominant wins of any team in the league.
Just look at this year.
After starting 2-2, they went 15-1 and the only loss, at Washington week 16, was because of a 3rd down drop by Devonte Smith which would have ended the game.
They really should have closed the season a perfect 16-0!!!!!!!!!
A better Kansas City team was dominated by an inferior Philly team in the last Super Bowl matchup but figured out a way to win.
This time around, the better team wins and that team is the Philadelphia Eagles.
Spagnola will do everything in his power to take away Barkley and that puts Hurts in a position to have the game of his life, which I believe he will.
And that is why he will be the MVP.
Fly Eagles Fly. You are World Champions ...
FINAL SCORE : 31-20
TALE OF THE TAPE
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19-11
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My Rating System
My ratings system is pretty simple. Plays are generally rated anywhere between 25 and 100 Dimes to aide clients in money management. However, when I sense an opportunity to go for the jugular or when I'm on a roll and can afford to take shots with a bankroll that's been steadily growing, you better believe I'm going for it.
Who is Brandon Lang?
Where do I start? Let's just say Hollywood would not have made a movie based on my life as a professional sports handicapper, "Two For the Money," if I wasn't a winner!
"Two For The Money" is all about me, the guy who is 25-4-2 lifetime with his Super Bowl selections!
Al Pacino plays my boss, Renee Russo plays his wife and Matthew McConaughey plays me. "Two For The Money", debuted in theaters in October of 2005 and is widely available on DVD and you'll always find it playing on one of the major streaming services.
I was born in Midland, Michigan in 1963. Sports was always my first love and I was a great athlete in high school, lettering in two sports, but my dreams of playing college ball were cut short by a knee injury.
With my playing days over, I decided to see the world by joining the Navy in 1981, getting stationed aboard the Battleship New Jersey, where I eventually became the youngest sailor to ever qualify as a master helmsman in the ship’s history.
After being honorably discharged in 1984, I traveled the world for three more years before ending up in Las Vegas in 1987. It was there I entered the sports handicapping industry, building my reputation by validating my opinion to customers worldwide. The daily highs and lows of competing against the Vegas oddsmakers filled the void left by the end of my basketball career.
In 1989, I joined a nationally-known sports service based on the East Coast and immediately embarked on one of the most historic winning streaks ever witnessed in the handicapping world. After an incredible six-year run, I just had a feeling my life story would make a fascinating movie. But, with that decision came the realization that my dream would only be fulfilled by leaving the business.
Despite sitting atop the handicapping world, I abandoned the industry in 1996, moving to Los Angeles in order to turn my movie aspirations into a reality. I networked my way in as a caddy at the prestigious Riviera Country Club, knowing the job would eventually put me in touch with a director, writer, or producer that could take my dream to the silver screen. After caddying for the likes of President Clinton, Jack Nicholson and Tom Cruise, along came Dan Gilroy, whom I pitched the movie idea of a lifetime after he made a fifty-foot putt. Six years later, with Matthew McConaughey playing Brandon Lang, "Two For The Money" was born.
A funny thing happened along the way though. I had a movie about my life in production, but something was missing. It was this business. The emotion, the adrenaline rush you get every football weekend with it all coming down to the Monday Night Game. No other feeling in the world can compare to that I get from knowing people are betting hundreds of thousands of dollars on my opinion, and then having me come through in the clutch when nobody else could.
With the movie deal wrapped up, I returned to the business, making my online debut in August of 2004.
This is the ONLY place you can get ALL my plays, right here
There is no 800 phone service; no 900 numbers.
Here at my website, it's just me and you. I'm forced to validate my opinion every day I release a big play. I win, and you're happy. I lose too often, and you're gone. But, at the end of the day, it's just me and you.
Understand something right now: I am not going to win every day, every week or every month. But, I can put you on the right side of more games that you've ever been on in your gambling life, and by doing that, you will make money.
By the way, if you're curious about whether my record is legitimate, let me assure you it is, and let me explain why: You see I offer long-term packages of 7, 30, 60 and 100 days. Anyone who buys a package gets EVERY play I release, day in, day out. Now, if I lied, even once, how many customers do you think I'd have remaining?
See, that's the beauty of the Internet. I don't need some phony monitoring service to document my wins and losses. Instead, you - my customers - do that for me. You validate my opinion and assure my credibility. And that's why we're a team.
Yes, the movie was intoxicating. I mean, who wouldn't want to have a major motion picture made about their life? The countless radio and TV interviews are incredible, too. But, no matter how much I tell you about what Hollywood is like, remember that my focus remains on doing what I do best, and that's making people money.
Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me!