Sept. 29: 400♦ Utah-Oregon St. Over LOST
Sept. 28: 400♦ Packers LOST
Sept. 27: 300♦ Rays WON
Sept. 26: 1000♦ Phillies Run Line (+130) LOST
Sept. 25: 500♦ Bengals-Rams Under WON
Sept. 24: 1000♦ Dolphins WON
Sept. 23: 500♦ Georgia Tech WON
Sept. 22: 300♦ Padres Run Line (+130) WON
Sept. 21: 300♦ Cubs Run Line (+130) LOST
Sept. 20: 1500♦ Rays Run Line (-105) LOST
Sept. 19: 1000♦ Diamondbacks Run Line (+140) WON
Sept. 18: 500♦ Saints WON
Sept. 17: 500♦ Ravens WON
Sept. 16: 1000♦ Ga Southern LOST
Sept. 15: 500♦ Mets (-110) LOST
Sept. 14: 800 Memphis LOST
Sept. 13: 300♦ Red Sox/Yankees ppd.
Sept. 12: 300♦ White Sox WON
Sept. 11: 400♦ Bills-Jets Over LOST
Sept. 10: 1000♦ Falcons WON
Sept. 9: 1000♦ Marshall WON
Sept. 8: 400♦ Kansas WON
Sept. 7: 400♦ Lions WON
Sept 6: 3000♦ Yankees Run Line (+130) LOST
Sept. 5: 1000♦ Royals WON
Sept. 4: 1000♦ Cubs WON
Sept. 3: 400♦ San Jose St.-Oregon St. Over WON
Sept. 2: 800♦ Northern Illinois WON
Sept. 1: 400 Astros Run Line (+120) LOST
Aug. 31: 1000♦ Yankees (-115) LOST
Aug. 30: 800♦ Phillies Run Line (+115) LOST
Aug. 29: 800♦ Rays WON
Aug. 28: 1500♦ Cardinals (+165) LOST
Aug. 27: 1500♦ Brewers (+105) WON
Aug. 26: 400♦ Navy-Notre Dame Under WON
Aug. 25: 1500♦ Brewers WON
Aug. 24: 800♦ Rays Run Line WON
Aug. 23: 1500♦ Dodgers Run Line WON
Aug. 22: 1500♦ Diamondbacks WON
Aug. 21: 500♦ Scratched Pitcher NO PLAY
Aug. 20: 500♦ Rockies (+130) LOST
Aug. 19: 500♦ Braves WON
Aug. 18: 500♦ Braves Run Line WON
Aug. 17: 600♦ Browns LOST
Aug. 16: 600♦ Dodgers Run Line WON
Aug. 15: 300♦ Dodgers Run Line WON
Aug. 14: 300♦ Cardinals Run Line WON
PRO FOOTBALL CHAMPIONSHIP RUN SINCE 2006
Documented 14-4 Roll with TOP-RATED releases in the BIG GAME
SIDES 5-1 ... TOTALS 8-3 ... TEASER 1-0
Blank Checks (1-0) ... 3000♦ (1-0) ... 2000♦ (0-3)
1000♦ (4-0) ... 600♦ (5-1) ... 500♦ (2-0) ... 400♦ (1-0)
- 2006 ... WIN: Blank Check Steelers-Seahawks Under 47
- 2007 ... WIN: 3000♦ Bears-Colts Under 47
- 2008 ... WIN: 1000♦ Giants +12' vs. Patriots
- 2009 ... WIN: 1000♦ Cardinals +6' vs. Steelers
- 2010 ... WIN: 600♦ Saints-Colts Under 56'
- 2011 ... LOSS: 2000♦ Packers-Steelers Under 45
- 2012 ... WIN: 1000♦ Giants-Patriots Under 53'
- 2013 ... WIN: 400♦ Ravens-49ers Over 48
- 2014 ... LOSS: 2000♦ Broncos-Seahawks Under 47'
- 2015 ... WIN: 500♦ Teaser Seahawks and Under vs. Patriots
- 2016 ... WIN: 500♦ Broncos-Panthers Under 44
- 2017 ... WIN: 1000♦ Patriots -3 vs. Falcons
- 2018 ... LOSS: 2000♦ Patriots -4' vs. Eagles
- 2019 ... WIN: 600♦ Patriots-Rams Under 55'
- 2020 ... WIN: 600♦ Chiefs Moneyline -125 vs. 49ers
- 2021 ... WIN: 600♦ Buccaneers +3 vs. Chiefs
- 2022 ... WIN: 600♦ Bengals-Rams Under 48'
- 2023 ... LOSS: 600♦ Eagles-Chiefs Under 51
Chris Jordan's Rating System
Everyone should be on the same page for each new campaign and how to approach each season.
You first must understand the Kelly Criterion, sometimes referred to as the Kelly formula; it's a blueprint I like to use to maximize the long-term growth rate of our bankroll, using repeated gambles of the variety of ratings I give out.
That criterion says an aggressive gambler should wager a set percentage of his bankroll, pertaining to the advantage (or rating system in this case) he feels he has over the game itself.
For those of you who play blackjack when visiting casinos, you may do the same thing in determining there is a one percent advantage over the dealer, and wager 1 percent of the total bankroll.
The key thing to remember is determining the percentage your using, and the maximum you'd be willing to risk on the top rating you will find here, which is the 1,000♦ Power Play.
On a daily basis you will find my plays ranging from from 100♦ and 1,000♦, but well within percentages you can effectively spread your wagers. When you do see the rating system on plays upgraded to a higher level, I will always talk about managing the bankroll accordingly.
Remember, a 1,000♦ play does not indicate a specific amount for everyone in general, it means if you're absolute biggest play you're willing to make is a nickel - that is your gauge with this rating system.
You need only divide accordingly from your absolute maximum amount into whatever the rating is, based on 1,000♦ being the highest rating.
Overall, you will find that I like to keep it consistent day-to-day so you know exactly when I'm stepping out on a big play.
Please follow these ratings accordingly.
The occasional 2,000♦, 3,000♦ or BLANK CHECK releases are games I feel are extreme value for the price, or in Kelly Criterion theory - is more of an advantage over the book.
I have always personally played a Blank Check game FIVE TIMES THE SIZE of my regular maximum bet. So, for example, on day I am releasing a Blank Check Winner, one 1,000♦ play and three 200♦ picks, a player with a maximum wager of $500 would wager the following:
Blank Check play - $2,500
1,000♦ Plays - $500
200♦ Plays - $100 each
With the vig, you would have a total of $3,630 in action.
Hope this helps in regards to money management!
Complimentary College Football Winner
USC at Colorado (73')
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My free winner for Saturday is the Pac-12 clash between USC and Colorado to sail over the posted number.
I'm convinced the Buffaloes received their wake-up call against the Oregon Ducks last week. And while I don't think it's going to be able to keep up with the Trojans, I do believe Colorado will have its act together while hoping to avenge the way it lost last week.
Despite being held to a 42-6 loss, the Buffs still bring the fifth-best passing attack into this game and are still averaging 32.5 points per game - the 50th-highest in the nation.
With the type of pride coach Deion Sanders has instilled, his troops aren't about to let him down a second straight week.
The Trojans, led by Heisman favorite Caleb Williams, have the third-best offense in the nation with 569.2 yards per game. The passing offense is also third-best in the country with 377.2 yards per game.
Williams leads an attack that boasts the No. 1 scoring offense in the country with 55.0 points per game.
The Trojans are averaging 49 points per game through their first two Pac-12 contests.
Look for a high-scoring game in this showdown.
Based on 1♦ to 5♦
Complimentary Pro Football Winner
Atlanta (+3) vs. Jacksonville, at London
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My complimentary winner for Sunday is the Atlanta Falcons over the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Two teams looking to rebound from a loss, and my money is on the Falcons avenging their setback to the Lions.
I love their running attack and think the Falcons can wear down Jacksonville's defense.
Falcons rookie running back Bijan Robinson looked impressive in the two wins to start the season. Sure, the offense was nearly non-existent in a tough loss to Detroit, but the Lions were looking to avenge a home to Seattle.
The Jaguars' mistake-riddle loss to the Houston Texans was more troubling in my eyes. Jacksonville travels to London after back-to-back home losses and will have its tail between its legs.
Take the dog and buy the half point as long as the number is between +2 and +4.
Based on 1♦ to 5♦